Anybody who would have bought an Internet IPO in this table shown at the low would be up at least 13%. Some would have enjoyed as much as a 303% pop from the depths.
MIT SMR Article, "Sharpening the IPO Double-Edged Sword" - Fall :: A third working paper, "Leverage, Liquidity and Long-Run IPO Returns," which examined They also should keep in mind that IPOs' low debt structure often http://sloanreview.mit.edu/smr/issue/2001/fall/1h/HOME | As a group these stocks gained a blended 94% off their lows and as of yesterday's close were off the highs by 28%.Through April 22 the top runner was up 775% from its initial public offering. Stats:
|
Company |
Stock |
Shares |
IPO share |
4/22 change from |
High % |
Low % |
|
name |
Symbol |
sold |
price |
IPO |
vs. IPO |
vs. IPO |
China's Google Baidu is really China's Baidu Google - The INQUIRER:: But despite these parallels, Baidu's IPO in 2005 is not Google's IPO in 2004. A key reason for this low income is that the average Chinese citizen http://www.theinquirer.net/en/inquirer/news/2005/09/16/chinas-google-baidu-is-really-chinas-baidu-googleHOME |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
VerticalNet |
VERT |
3.50 |
$ 16.00 |
775% |
831% |
117% |
|
Pacific Internet |
PCNTF |
3.00 |
$ 17.00 |
324% |
The Long Tail: Where to run the One Machine?:: The $85 million IPO is being planned for early next year. Says Rafat: "Bollywood.tv says it has the Internet rights to more than 730 Indian films, http://www.longtail.com/the_long_tail/2008/06/where-to-run-th.htmlHOME | Google’s IPO Strategy:: File Format: Microsoft Powerpoint - View as HTMLInternet Boom 2.0. Google’s Decision: The Dutch Auction. Online auction; Investors bid on an IPO before it goes public; Benefits: in theory a fair market http://web.cba.neu.edu/~fgadams/doc/GooglesIPOStrategy_Rev2%5B1%5D.pptHOME |
513% |
54% |
|
WebTrends |
WEBT |
3.50 |
$ 13.00 |
341% |
546% |
69% |
|
Healtheon |
HLTH |
5.00 |
$ 8.00 |
538% |
672% |
172% |
|
Vignette |
VIGN |
4.00 |
$ 19.00 |
353% |
488% |
96% |
|
Allaire |
ALLR |
2.50 |
$ 20.00 |
223% |
278% |
70% |
|
Prodigy |
PRGY |
8.00 |
$ 15.00 |
107% |
238% |
33% |
|
iVillage |
IVIL |
3.65 A Review of IPO Activity, Pricing, and Allocations:: lows underwriters to obtain information from informed investors. . Internet IPOs, perhaps out of legal liability concerns, given the already lofty http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/bpl/jofi/2002/00000057/00000004/art00478HOME | |
$ 24.00 |
296% |
442% |
168% |
|
MiningCo |
MINE |
3.00 |
$ 25.00 |
162% |
300% |
86% |
|
Autoweb |
AWEB |
5.00 |
$ 14.00 |
88% |
257% |
40% |
|
MarketWatch |
MKTW |
2.75 |
$ 17.00 |
323% |
665% |
229% |
|
OneMain |
ONEM |
8.50 |
$ 22.00 |
28% |
113% |
14% |
|
|
TOTAL |
52.40 |
210.00 |
276% |
421% |
94% |
|
|
AVERAGE |
4.37 |
17.50 |
276% |
421% |
94% |
|
|
MEDIAN |
3.58 |
17.00 |
282% |
441% |
77% |
The biggest surprise in the bunch to me is VerticalNet (NASDAQ:VERT) which hovers 9 points off its all-time high. The industrial community (vertical) Web site service reported $1.9 million in revenue for first quarter ending March 31, up 412% vs. 1Q98. Net loss was $5.6 million vs. $5.3 million net loss for 1Q98. The surprise isn't in the results but in how investors have driven this stock to a $2.35 billion market cap. That's 309x annualized revenue. On a generous $20 million sales estimate for 2000
the multiple is over 100x. I think two things could be at play here: 1) investor's genuine enthusiasm for business-to-business Internet stocks; 2) but I also believe investors may be confusing the B-2-B opportunity (which is huge) with one company's potential (which is perhaps bigbutnot yet).
One stock I find more encouraging at these levels and more pleasantly surprising could be Healtheon (NASDAQ:HLTH). In my pre-IPO analysis I was bearish on this stock for one plain reason, the healthcare system in the U.S. is very unwired. The path forward I mentioned for Healtheon at that time was in acting as a roll-up magnet. Go public, get aggressive and acquire the missing pieces to grow a strong Web presence and Internet-based information and commerce system.
Healtheon announced a $460 million stock swap for healthcare transaction software firm MEDE (NASDAQ:MEDE). The irony is Healtheon first delayed its IPO last year and debuted this year at $8 per share. At $51 Healtheon looks undervalued to me with its new public leverage just starting. Its next step ought to be to acquire Drugstore.com perhaps.
question of the
day:
will the market for Internet IPOs stay hot?
email "yes"or
"no" in subject header
results next week in emailbag monday! |
Introducing Internet StockTracker, the new weekly email newsletter from
internet.com LLC. Every Friday internet.com will deliver to your e-mail
in-box the latest performance data on individual Internet companies and
their competitors. Internet StockTracker will deliver to you all the
statistics you need to assess the week's activity.
Subscribe today and receive the Charter Rate of $127 -- a savings of
$100 off the regular subscription price!
e-newsletters
Accolades:
"Fresh and provocative" -CBS
Marketwatch, who named
Steve Harmon one of the top Internet stock analysts and only independent
one honored
"I am a huge fan of Steve Harmon's analysis"
-Kleiner Perkins' John Doerr
Internet Stocks Climb On Positive News
Good Earnings News Helps Internet Stocks Keep Win Streak Alive
|